Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.312759 0.363781 0.420087 0.486778 0.563558 0.649132 0.751689
2025-04-27 0.239298 0.310918 0.398523 0.513289 0.659393 0.838889 1.075860
2025-05-04 0.196121 0.275865 0.380839 0.528545 0.730365 0.995759 1.370458
2025-05-11 0.164213 0.246605 0.361809 0.533660 0.782365 1.127896 1.642809
2025-05-18 0.138765 0.220691 0.341443 0.530961 0.819234 1.239165 1.894656
2025-05-25 0.118075 0.197811 0.321071 0.523590 0.845701 1.335209 2.131517
2025-06-01 0.102357 0.179881 0.305072 0.519556 0.874855 1.435928 2.383390
2025-06-08 0.087085 0.160148 0.283117 0.502280 0.879473 1.496937 2.576655
2025-06-15 0.082711 0.158354 0.290413 0.534124 0.967913 1.700782 3.022039
2025-06-22 0.071434 0.142455 0.271116 0.517043 0.969813 1.759305 3.226741
2025-06-29 0.062038 0.128652 0.253673 0.500787 0.970601 1.814742 3.429731
2025-07-06 0.054308 0.116933 0.238524 0.486687 0.973181 1.872571 3.641089
2025-07-13 0.049593 0.110781 0.233588 0.492187 1.014468 2.007084 4.011382
2025-07-20 0.047456 0.109750 0.238732 0.518415 1.099251 2.232010 4.576519
2025-07-27 0.044459 0.106398 0.238646 0.533794 1.163732 2.423656 5.095052
2025-08-03 0.040895 0.101238 0.234040 0.538957 1.207454 2.577986 5.553310
2025-08-10 0.037123 0.095019 0.226296 0.536233 1.233854 2.699115 5.954241
2025-08-17 0.033447 0.088478 0.216980 0.528791 1.248973 2.797843 6.317012
2025-08-24 0.030414 0.083067 0.209558 0.524719 1.270956 2.912781 6.724579
2025-08-31 0.026911 0.075923 0.197117 0.507278 1.260351 2.955658 6.978123
2025-09-07 0.026564 0.077022 0.204851 0.539426 1.369025 3.272725 7.872271
2025-09-14 0.023624 0.070669 0.193192 0.522182 1.357640 3.316868 8.148717
2025-09-21 0.021052 0.064942 0.182392 0.505771 1.346385 3.359955 8.426194